Vitoria 2-0 Mirassol FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Nov 2025

Vitoria
2-0 HT 1-0
Mirassol FC
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Vitoria vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.51
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
10%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.49
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
5.03
X/2
12%
6.14
X/X
15%
4.05
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
14%
4.74
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.0pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirassol FC EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.57/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.07
-9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
24.9 Crosses 21.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Vitoria vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Mirassol FC
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.47 xG 1.98
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 347
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.07.2025 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Vitoria Vitoria BR1
02.09.2023 Vitoria Vitoria 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC BR2
20.05.2023 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Vitoria BR2
08.08.2022 Mirassol FC Mirassol FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Vitoria Vitoria BRE3

Vitoria 2-0 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria
2-0
AWAY Mirassol FC
2.48 xG 2.18
26% Ball Possession 74%
16 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
147 Passes 534
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 45
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria vs Mirassol FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria saw off Mirassol FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Vitoria found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vitoria had 26% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 74%, shots finished 16-25, expected goals 2.48 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Vitoria and 1.00 for Mirassol FC.

What was the final score of Vitoria vs Mirassol FC?

Vitoria 2-0 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria vs Mirassol FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vitoria 40%, draw 27%, Mirassol FC 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR1 More Brazil - Serie A
29 Nov 2025
01:00 Juventude vs Bahia Analysis →
01:30 Vasco da Gama vs Internacional Analysis →
03:30 Santos vs Sport Recife Analysis →