Santos vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Santos
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Sport Recife
BR1
4-2
HT 2-2
Sport Recife
BR1
Santos 3-0 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Santos cruised past Sport Recife 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Santos had 52% of the ball to Sport Recife's 48%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.27 to 0.43.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Santos and 1.17 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Santos vs Sport Recife?
Santos 3-0 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Santos 66%, draw 18%, Sport Recife 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.