Vasco da Gama 5-1 Internacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.93
6+ Goals
9%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.49
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
13%
6.24
X/X
11%
4.28
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
19%
4.48
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+5.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasco da Gama EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Internacional EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.46/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.29
+11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 81%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.2 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Internacional
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.94 xG 1.31
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
361 Passes 377
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2025 Internacional Internacional 1-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
22.11.2024 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-0 Internacional Internacional BR1
08.07.2024 Internacional Internacional 1-2 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
27.10.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 1-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
11.06.2023 Internacional Internacional 2-1 HT 2-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
14.02.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-2 HT 0-1 Internacional Internacional BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasco da Gama
5-1
AWAY Internacional
2.31 xG 1.12
39% Ball Possession 61%
16 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
182 Passes 294
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vasco da Gama vs Internacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasco da Gama swept aside Internacional 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Vasco da Gama made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Vasco da Gama had 39% of the ball to Internacional's 61%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 2.31 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Internacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.50 for Internacional.

What was the final score of Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

Vasco da Gama 5-1 Internacional in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Internacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasco da Gama win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vasco da Gama 38%, draw 26%, Internacional 37%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasco da Gama) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vasco da Gama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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