Juventude 1-1 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 29 Nov 2025

Juventude
1-1 HT 1-1
Bahia
📅29/11/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2025

Juventude vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
8%
14.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 28% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.76
1/2
8%
26.5
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
12%
6.63
X/2
10%
5.1
X/X
12%
4.61
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
21%
3.18
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Juventude v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.11/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.39
-7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
24.0 Crosses 18.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Juventude vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bahia
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.38
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
325 Passes 424
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.07.2025 Bahia Bahia 3-0 HT 1-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
10.11.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
05.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
31.10.2021 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
08.07.2021 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
28.10.2009 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR2

Juventude 1-1 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
1-1
AWAY Bahia
2.00 xG 2.19
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
300 Passes 388
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventude and Bahia shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Juventude had 45% of the ball to Bahia's 55%, shots finished 18-15, expected goals 2.00 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Juventude and 1.33 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Bahia?

Juventude 1-1 Bahia in the Brazil - Serie A on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juventude 32%, draw 29%, Bahia 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bahia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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