Bahia 3-0 Juventude — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 28 Jul 2025

📅28/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.53
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
15%
3.71
X/2
5%
18.9
X/X
10%
7.3
2/1
9%
23.75
2/2
7%
17.1
2/X
7%
25.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+6.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahia EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventude EU Bookmakers 14%
-6% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +3%
1.76/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.93
-24% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
22.9 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahia
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Juventude
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.16 xG 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
396 Passes 343
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Juventude Juventude 2-1 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR1
05.07.2024 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
31.10.2021 Juventude Juventude 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR1
08.07.2021 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
28.10.2009 Juventude Juventude 0-1 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR2
29.07.2009 Bahia Bahia 2-2 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahia
3-0
AWAY Juventude
2.24 xG 0.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 1
535 Passes 254
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
32 Box Touches 5
14 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bahia vs Juventude
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia cruised past Juventude 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bahia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Bahia had 66% of the ball to Juventude's 34%, shots finished 17-3, expected goals 2.24 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bahia and 0.67 for Juventude.

What was the final score of Bahia vs Juventude?

Bahia 3-0 Juventude in the Brazil - Serie A on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahia vs Juventude?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Bahia 61%, draw 22%, Juventude 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bahia), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bahia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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