Stoke City U21 3-2 Fulham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.13
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
21%
+4.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 62%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.53/2.53
-13% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -59%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.4 Crosses 17.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stoke City U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fulham U21
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26% Ball Possession 74%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
153 Passes 567
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 1
25.10.2024 Stoke City U21 Stoke City U21 0-1 HT 0-0 Fulham U21 Fulham U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
3-2
AWAY Fulham U21
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
299 Passes 363
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stoke City U21 nicked a narrow win over Fulham U21 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Fulham U21 carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 46% of the ball to Fulham U21's 54%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21?

Stoke City U21 3-2 Fulham U21 in the INGPL2 on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Fulham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 25%, draw 20%, Fulham U21 55%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fulham U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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