Sunderland U21 3-1 Arsenal U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.38
No
37%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.4pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.77/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.68
+23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.9 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunderland U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arsenal U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
224 Passes 386
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2024 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 INGPL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sunderland U21
3-1
AWAY Arsenal U21
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
379 Passes 227
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 beat Arsenal U21 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sunderland U21 as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sunderland U21 had 56% of the ball to Arsenal U21's 44%, shots finished 18-5.

What was the final score of Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Sunderland U21 3-1 Arsenal U21 in the INGPL2 on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunderland U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sunderland U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sunderland U21 48%, draw 23%, Arsenal U21 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sunderland U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sunderland U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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