Chelyabinsk 0-1 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
42%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.56
Over
50%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.97
No
47%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
42%
Away Win
36%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelyabinsk The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow The Market 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
2.24/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.97
+98% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelyabinsk
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
20.07.2025 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-3 HT 1-2 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelyabinsk
0-1
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Torpedo Moscow nicked a narrow win over Chelyabinsk 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.56, roughly 64%.

By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Chelyabinsk's favour, shots finished 7-15.

Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow Result & Final Score

Chelyabinsk 0-1 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chelyabinsk vs Torpedo Moscow Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chelyabinsk 33%, draw 26%, Torpedo Moscow 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✗ BTTS Yes
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