FK Rodina Moskva 5-2 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
73%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.81
Away
11%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.31
No
55%
1.54
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
36%
4-5
25%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
FK Rodina Moskva win — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
73%
Home Win
72%
+0.8pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.9pp
11%
Away Win
10%
+0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka The Market 14%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.76/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.71
-2% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
465 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Chayka
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
04.10.2025 Chayka Chayka 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
10.11.2024 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 HT 2-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
11.08.2024 Chayka Chayka 2-2 HT 2-0 FK Rodina Moskva FK Rodina Moskva RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
5-2
AWAY Chayka
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW FK Rodina Moskva vs Chayka
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FK Rodina Moskva made light work of Chayka 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

True to our pre-match read, our model had FK Rodina Moskva as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 61% to 39% in FK Rodina Moskva's favour, shots finished 11-13.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Rodina Moskva had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for FK Rodina Moskva against 0.67 for Chayka.

FK Rodina Moskva vs Chayka Result & Final Score

FK Rodina Moskva 5-2 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FK Rodina Moskva vs Chayka Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 73%, draw 16%, Chayka 11%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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