Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 23 Mar 2026

📅23/03/2026 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-5.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.0pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +1%
1.57/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.47
-2% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
21.2 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
293 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 18
5 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 4-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
29.03.2025 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 2-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
17.07.2024 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
04.02.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 5-1 HT 4-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
08.10.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
07.10.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
1-0
AWAY Estudiantes De Merida
0.65 xG 0.28
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
253 Passes 230
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Tachira edged past Estudiantes De Merida 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Tachira as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 52% of the ball to Estudiantes De Merida's 48%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.65 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 1.00 for Estudiantes De Merida.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Deportivo Tachira 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida in the Venezuela - Premier League on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Estudiantes De Merida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 60%, draw 20%, Estudiantes De Merida 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ BTTS No
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