Hacken 3-4 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 23 Apr 2025

Hacken
3-4 HT 0-1
Degerfors
📅23/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

Hacken vs Degerfors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.74
6+ Goals
11%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
12%
4.15
X/2
11%
8.68
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
23.75
2/2
13%
7.06
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 11% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hacken v Degerfors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 26%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.77/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.39
+22% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +69%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.6 Crosses 21.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Hacken vs Degerfors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Degerfors
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.19 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
464 Passes 346
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
36 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 1-0 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
13.05.2023 Hacken Hacken 6-1 HT 4-1 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
04.09.2022 Hacken Hacken 2-2 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
09.04.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 1-2 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
07.11.2021 Hacken Hacken 2-0 HT 0-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
15.08.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 3-0 HT 3-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ

Hacken 3-4 Degerfors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
3-4
AWAY Degerfors
2.40 xG 1.14
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
620 Passes 247
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
43 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hacken vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Degerfors squeezed past Hacken 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hacken at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hacken had 68% of the ball to Degerfors's 32%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.40 to 1.14 — on chances, Hacken could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hacken and 1.33 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of Hacken vs Degerfors?

Hacken 3-4 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Hacken 48%, draw 23%, Degerfors 30%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hacken) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hacken) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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