Hammarby 2-0 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.21
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
14%
5.18
X/2
8%
6.62
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
12%
4.7
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.58/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.79
+46% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
362 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
17.2 Crosses 13.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.01 xG 1.69
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
425 Passes 390
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 2-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.04.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
17.09.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
30.04.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 4-2 HT 3-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
01.10.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.05.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
2-0
AWAY Malmö FF
0.94 xG 0.31
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
453 Passes 402
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby saw off Malmö FF 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Hammarby had 52% of the ball to Malmö FF's 48%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.94 to 0.31.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hammarby and 1.83 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Malmö FF?

Hammarby 2-0 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 42%, draw 29%, Malmö FF 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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