Parma vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parma v Juventus — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Parma
İTA
0-4
HT 0-2
Juventus
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Parma
İTA
0-1
HT 0-1
Juventus
İTA
3-3
HT 1-0
Parma
İTA
Parma 1-0 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics
Parma nicked a narrow win over Juventus 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Parma made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Parma had 34% of the ball to Juventus's 66%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 0.60 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Parma and 2.50 for Juventus.
What was the final score of Parma vs Juventus?
Parma 1-0 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parma vs Juventus?
Before kick-off our model rated an Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Parma 31%, draw 29%, Juventus 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Juventus) went the other way.