Genoa vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genoa v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTK
0-1
HT 0-1
Genoa
İTA
4-1
HT 2-1
Lazio
HAZ
1-4
HT 0-2
Lazio
İTA
Genoa 0-2 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Lazio beat Genoa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Lazio found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Genoa had 38% of the ball to Lazio's 62%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 0.64 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Genoa and 1.67 for Lazio.
What was the final score of Genoa vs Lazio?
Genoa 0-2 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genoa vs Lazio?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lazio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Genoa 36%, draw 23%, Lazio 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.