Aubstadt 2-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.1pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aubstadt EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.88/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.45
-35% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
253 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.1
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aubstadt
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.04 xG 1.82
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
284 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 2-2 HT 0-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
12.04.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 1-0 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
30.09.2023 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
28.04.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-2 HT 2-1 Aubstadt Aubstadt ALMBÖL
03.10.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 2-0 HT 1-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Aubstadt Aubstadt 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Aubstadt vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aubstadt edged past Bayern München II 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Aubstadt made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aubstadt and 1.33 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Aubstadt vs Bayern München II?

Aubstadt 2-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aubstadt vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aubstadt 33%, draw 27%, Bayern München II 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →