Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-2 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.79
6+ Goals
12%
7.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 26%
+19% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -17%
1.78/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.23
+39% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
16.2 Crosses 13.5
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.62 xG 1.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
521 Passes 232
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.12.2024 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
14.03.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
23.09.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-4 HT 0-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
11.05.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
22.01.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
15.03.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 3-2 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1-2
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.80 xG 2.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
428 Passes 309
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
33 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ittihad Kalba squeezed past Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Abu Dhabi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had 57% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 43%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 1.80 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi and 1.17 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-2 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Abu Dhabi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 50%, draw 25%, Al Ittihad Kalba 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Abu Dhabi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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