Al Ahli FC Dubai 4-0 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.34
Draw
26%
4.81
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.61
Over 2.5
50%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.66
2-3 Goals
38%
2.03
4-5 Goals
24%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
70%
-17.3pp
26%
Draw
18%
+9.0pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
35%
+15.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
65%
-15.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
2.22/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.75
+19% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
448 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 74%
30.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
19.0 Crosses 13.3
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.69 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
382 Passes 213
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
38 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
01.03.2024 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-3 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
27.08.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.03.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-1 HT 2-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
22.10.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
26.05.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli FC Dubai
4-0
AWAY Khorfakkan
2.21 xG 0.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
24 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 5
378 Passes 224
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
43 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai ran out comfortable winners over Khorfakkan 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Ahli FC Dubai had 60% of the ball to Khorfakkan's 40%, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 2.21 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Ahli FC Dubai and 0.67 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Khorfakkan?

Al Ahli FC Dubai 4-0 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli FC Dubai vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli FC Dubai 53%, draw 26%, Khorfakkan 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAE More UAE - League
23 Apr 2025
16:55 Al Bataeh vs Al Wasl Dubai Analysis →
16:55 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi vs Al Ittihad Kalba Analysis →