FC Nantes (K) 0-2 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
49%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.39
No
48%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
49%
Away Win
45%
+3.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.6pp
48%
BTTS No
32%
+15.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-29% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 83%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nantes (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 5.50
0.27 xG 3.70
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 14
0 Corners 8
317 Passes 568
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
4 Box Touches 62
5 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.12.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 5-1 HT 4-0 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) FRK1
28.01.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 6-0 HT 1-0 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) FRKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nantes (K)
0-2
AWAY Lyon (K)
1.12 xG 2.68
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
246 Passes 513
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
26 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 23
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Nantes (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) got the better of FC Nantes (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Nantes (K) had 34% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 66%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 1.12 to 2.68.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Nantes (K) and 5.50 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of FC Nantes (K) vs Lyon (K)?

FC Nantes (K) 0-2 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nantes (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Nantes (K) 29%, draw 22%, Lyon (K) 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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