Al Jubail 2-1 Al Hazm — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒18:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.5
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
47%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.86
Over
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
25%
-3.1pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.0pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jubail EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hazm EU Bookmakers 55%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.35/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.09
+32% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jubail
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Hazm
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2024 Al Hazm Al Hazm 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Jubail Al Jubail SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Jubail
2-1
AWAY Al Hazm
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Jubail vs Al Hazm
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Jubail squeezed past Al Hazm 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hazm at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Jubail had 42% of the ball to Al Hazm's 58%, shots finished 13-17.

What was the final score of Al Jubail vs Al Hazm?

Al Jubail 2-1 Al Hazm in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jubail vs Al Hazm?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hazm win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Jubail 22%, draw 31%, Al Hazm 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Hazm) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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