Al Bukayriyah 3-0 Al Safa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 23 Apr 2025

📅23/04/2025 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
62%
1.29
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.97
Over
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
49%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
30%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Al Bukayriyah win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
73%
-11.0pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bukayriyah EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Safa EU Bookmakers 11%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
0.92/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.89
-50% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -9%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bukayriyah
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Safa
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.12.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah SUUD1
24.01.2024 Al Safa Al Safa 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah SUUD1
16.08.2023 Al Bukayriyah Al Bukayriyah 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Safa Al Safa SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bukayriyah
3-0
AWAY Al Safa
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Al Bukayriyah vs Al Safa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bukayriyah cruised past Al Safa 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Bukayriyah as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Bukayriyah had 62% of the ball to Al Safa's 38%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Safa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Bukayriyah and 1.33 for Al Safa.

What was the final score of Al Bukayriyah vs Al Safa?

Al Bukayriyah 3-0 Al Safa in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 23/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bukayriyah vs Al Safa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Bukayriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Bukayriyah 62%, draw 21%, Al Safa 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Bukayriyah), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Bukayriyah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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