Kalmar 1-1 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 23 Apr 2026

Kalmar
1-1 HT 1-1
Göteborg
📅23/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2026

Kalmar vs Göteborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.25
X/2
14%
6.21
X/X
10%
4.58
2/1
5%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.28
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.5 — our 7% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Göteborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 36%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +28%
1.28/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.63
-17% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
308 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 73%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.3 Crosses 21.4
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kalmar vs Göteborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.01 xG 1.31
57% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
408 Passes 289
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.11.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
14.04.2024 Kalmar Kalmar 0-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
30.07.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 2-0 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
09.04.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 2-0 HT 1-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
22.08.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
02.05.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 1-2 HT 1-0 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ

Kalmar 1-1 Göteborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
1-1
AWAY Göteborg
0.98 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
306 Passes 417
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalmar and Göteborg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Kalmar had 44% of the ball to Göteborg's 56%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.98 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kalmar and 0.83 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Göteborg?

Kalmar 1-1 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalmar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 39%, draw 23%, Göteborg 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalmar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalmar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
23 Apr 2026
20:00 Degerfors vs AIK Analysis →
20:00 GAIS vs Mjallby Analysis →
20:00 Malmö FF vs IK Sirius Analysis →