Malmö FF vs IK Sirius Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Malmö FF v IK Sirius — Team-Based Signals
Malmö FF vs IK Sirius Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-2
Malmö FF
İSÇ
3-0
HT 1-0
IK Sirius
İSÇ
Malmö FF 2-3 IK Sirius — Actual Match Statistics
IK Sirius edged past Malmö FF 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
On the day, Malmö FF had 57% of the ball to IK Sirius's 43%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.45 to 2.08.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Malmö FF and 1.83 for IK Sirius.
What was the final score of Malmö FF vs IK Sirius?
Malmö FF 2-3 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs IK Sirius?
Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 45%, draw 21%, IK Sirius 35%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.