Degerfors vs AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Degerfors v AIK — Team-Based Signals
Degerfors vs AIK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Degerfors
İSÇ
2-1
HT 1-1
AIK
İSÇ
1-1
HT 1-0
Degerfors
İSÇ
Degerfors 2-1 AIK — Actual Match Statistics
Degerfors edged past AIK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was AIK at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Degerfors had 46% of the ball to AIK's 54%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.93 to 0.82.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Degerfors and 1.50 for AIK.
What was the final score of Degerfors vs AIK?
Degerfors 2-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Degerfors vs AIK?
Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 32%, draw 22%, AIK 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.