Degerfors 0-1 AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
48%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.67
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.4
6+ Goals
8%
22.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.67 — our 36% vs market 31.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.89
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
11%
14.65
X/1
8%
7.25
X/2
17%
4.43
X/X
8%
4.13
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.77
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
48%
Away Win
46%
+1.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Degerfors EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AIK EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
1.35/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.11
-11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
230 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 82%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
22.7 Crosses 20.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Degerfors
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AIK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 421
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2025 AIK AIK 3-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
14.02.2025 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
18.09.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
20.05.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
18.09.2022 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
26.06.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Degerfors
0-1
AWAY AIK
0.25 xG 2.03
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
290 Passes 474
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Degerfors vs AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK edged past Degerfors 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Degerfors had 42% of the ball to AIK's 58%, shots finished 5-11, expected goals 0.25 to 2.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AIK's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AIK led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Degerfors and 1.50 for AIK.

What was the final score of Degerfors vs AIK?

Degerfors 0-1 AIK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Degerfors vs AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated an AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Degerfors 26%, draw 26%, AIK 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AIK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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