IK Sirius 3-1 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 24 Aug 2025

IK Sirius
3-1 HT 1-0
Hammarby
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IK Sirius vs Hammarby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
27%
2.87
6+ Goals
9%
8.08
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.66
1/2
6%
20.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
7%
8.19
X/2
20%
4.67
X/X
10%
5.68
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
23%
2.39
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
48%
Away Win
50%
-2.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Hammarby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -9%
1.05/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.30
+13% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 80%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
15.6 Crosses 21.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

IK Sirius vs Hammarby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Hammarby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.83 xG 1.51
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
306 Passes 450
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.05.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 3-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
26.10.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-2 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
26.05.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
30.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
09.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
20.10.2022 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IK Sirius 3-1 Hammarby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
3-1
AWAY Hammarby
2.41 xG 1.22
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
249 Passes 471
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
31 Box Touches 52
17 Crosses 21
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius beat Hammarby 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, IK Sirius had 37% of the ball to Hammarby's 63%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 2.41 to 1.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IK Sirius and 2.33 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Hammarby?

IK Sirius 3-1 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 27%, draw 25%, Hammarby 48%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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