Elfsborg 1-2 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
15%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.88
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
20%
4.13
X/2
5%
11.35
X/X
8%
6.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.65
2/2
6%
8.82
2/X
6%
16.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
15%
Away Win
17%
-2.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.96/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.78
+5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
32.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
23.8 Crosses 14.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Halmstad
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.37 xG 1.04
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
405 Passes 292
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2025 Halmstad Halmstad 1-4 HT 1-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
15.09.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
24.05.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
25.09.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.05.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 6-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
21.11.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
1-2
AWAY Halmstad
0.75 xG 3.12
66% Ball Possession 34%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
519 Passes 232
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad squeezed past Elfsborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Elfsborg carried 64% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Elfsborg had 66% of the ball to Halmstad's 34%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.75 to 3.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Halmstad's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Elfsborg and 0.33 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Halmstad?

Elfsborg 1-2 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 64%, draw 20%, Halmstad 15%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Elfsborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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