Halmstad 1-4 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.76
No
42%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.55
6+ Goals
13%
13.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
23.3
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
11%
9.02
X/2
15%
4.36
X/X
11%
5.11
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
25%
2.32
2/X
7%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.3 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.0pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 57%
+15% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.10/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.12/0.95
+42% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +43%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
14.7 Crosses 20.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.07 xG 2.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
296 Passes 392
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
24.05.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
25.09.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.05.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 6-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
21.11.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
17.05.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-3 HT 2-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
1-4
AWAY Elfsborg
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg ran out comfortable winners over Halmstad 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Halmstad had 52% of the ball to Elfsborg's 48%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Halmstad and 2.17 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Elfsborg?

Halmstad 1-4 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 27%, draw 25%, Elfsborg 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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