Halmstad 0-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
6.35
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.36
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.96
6+ Goals
10%
8.83
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.36 — our 26% vs market 18.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
13.75
1/2
7%
22.7
1/X
9%
21.0
X/1
7%
17.3
X/2
23%
3.51
X/X
7%
6.97
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.59
2/X
5%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
12%
+6.9pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.1pp
60%
Away Win
70%
-10.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 75%
+6% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
0.65/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.55/0.59
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 37.0
12.7 Crosses 24.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Elfsborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.01 xG 2.24
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
296 Passes 405
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.05.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
25.09.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
03.05.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 6-1 HT 0-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
21.11.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
17.05.2021 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-3 HT 2-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
27.08.2017 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
0-1
AWAY Elfsborg
1.36 xG 1.84
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
287 Passes 386
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg squeezed past Halmstad 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Halmstad had 44% of the ball to Elfsborg's 56%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 1.36 to 1.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Halmstad and 2.17 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Elfsborg?

Halmstad 0-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 19%, draw 21%, Elfsborg 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
15 Sep 2024
15:00 AIK vs Malmö FF Analysis →
15:00 IK Sirius vs Brommapojkarna Analysis →
15:00 Djurgarden vs Mjallby Analysis →
17:30 Hacken vs Göteborg Analysis →
17:30 Kalmar vs IFK Varnamo Analysis →