AIK 0-0 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 Sep 2024

AIK
0-0 HT 0-0
Malmö FF
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

AIK vs Malmö FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.45
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
8%
6.28
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
4.97
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
17%
3.21
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · X/2 at 4.97 — our 23% vs market 15.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AIK v Malmö FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.30/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.32
+8% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
20.0 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

AIK vs Malmö FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.30 xG 1.37
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
278 Passes 455
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 5-0 HT 3-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
23.07.2023 AIK AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.05.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-1 HT 3-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
11.05.2022 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
17.04.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 2-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
14.03.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-2 HT 0-0 AIK AIK İSÇK

AIK 0-0 Malmö FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
0-0
AWAY Malmö FF
0.63 xG 0.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
205 Passes 333
67% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH AIK vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK and Malmö FF fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, AIK had 42% of the ball to Malmö FF's 58%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 0.63 to 0.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for AIK and 2.33 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of AIK vs Malmö FF?

AIK 0-0 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AIK 28%, draw 26%, Malmö FF 46%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ BTTS No
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