Djurgarden 1-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 15 Sep 2024

Djurgarden
1-1 HT 1-1
Mjallby
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Djurgarden vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.8
Over 2.5
38%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.75
6+ Goals
7%
15.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 37% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.27
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.8
X/1
22%
3.94
X/2
8%
9.13
X/X
9%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
12%
7.31
2/X
5%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
52%
+10.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
48%
-10.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.1pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Djurgarden v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.43/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.34
-10% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
23.4 Crosses 16.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Djurgarden vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Djurgarden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mjallby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.49 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
395 Passes 316
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.05.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-3 HT 0-2 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
30.07.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-1 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
21.05.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
06.11.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
10.04.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
23.08.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 0-0 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ

Djurgarden 1-1 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Djurgarden
1-1
AWAY Mjallby
1.72 xG 1.78
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
448 Passes 362
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
36 Box Touches 32
25 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Djurgarden vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Djurgarden and Mjallby shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Djurgarden had 54% of the ball to Mjallby's 46%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.72 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Djurgarden and 0.50 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Djurgarden vs Mjallby?

Djurgarden 1-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Djurgarden vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Djurgarden 48%, draw 25%, Mjallby 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Djurgarden), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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