Göteborg 1-0 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.98 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.02
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
8%
6.28
X/2
13%
5.7
X/X
11%
5.0
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
21%
3.46
2/X
10%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 42%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.30/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.33
-13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
22.8 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.89 xG 1.57
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
215 Passes 494
71% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 33
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-2 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇK
28.10.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
13.05.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-3 HT 0-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
03.09.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-2 HT 0-2 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
17.04.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
17.10.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 2-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-0
AWAY Malmö FF
0.48 xG 2.01
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 8
283 Passes 463
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göteborg nicked a narrow win over Malmö FF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Göteborg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Göteborg had 40% of the ball to Malmö FF's 60%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.48 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Malmö FF.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göteborg and 2.00 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

Göteborg 1-0 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 35%, draw 26%, Malmö FF 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
25 May 2025
00:00 Halmstad vs Elfsborg Analysis →
17:30 Djurgarden vs Hacken Analysis →
17:30 Brommapojkarna vs AIK Analysis →