AIK 3-0 Degerfors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.22
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
11%
4.05
X/2
9%
9.72
X/X
10%
4.86
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
8.33
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AIK EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Degerfors EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +15%
1.44/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.91
-11% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
20.0 Crosses 19.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AIK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Degerfors
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.21 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
463 Passes 331
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇK
18.09.2023 AIK AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
20.05.2023 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
18.09.2022 AIK AIK 1-1 HT 1-0 Degerfors Degerfors İSÇ
26.06.2022 Degerfors Degerfors 1-1 HT 1-1 AIK AIK İSÇ
27.09.2021 Degerfors Degerfors 2-1 HT 1-0 AIK AIK İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AIK
3-0
AWAY Degerfors
1.07 xG 0.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
294 Passes 265
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AIK vs Degerfors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AIK cruised past Degerfors 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AIK as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AIK had 53% of the ball to Degerfors's 47%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.07 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Degerfors led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AIK and 1.17 for Degerfors.

What was the final score of AIK vs Degerfors?

AIK 3-0 Degerfors in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AIK vs Degerfors?

Before kick-off our model rated a AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AIK 53%, draw 24%, Degerfors 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AIK) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AIK)
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