GAIS 3-2 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
4.09
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 32% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.67
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
16%
5.42
X/2
10%
5.92
X/X
15%
4.36
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
15%
4.21
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GAIS EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +14%
1.53/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.24
-34% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
23.9 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GAIS
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Hammarby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 0.68
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
234 Passes 544
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
28 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 0-0 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ
07.07.2024 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
25.02.2018 Hammarby Hammarby 3-3 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇK
26.10.2014 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ2
18.06.2014 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 1-2 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
19.09.2013 Hammarby Hammarby 3-1 HT 1-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME GAIS
3-2
AWAY Hammarby
2.01 xG 1.61
43% Ball Possession 57%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 1
304 Passes 435
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH GAIS vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GAIS nicked a narrow win over Hammarby 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GAIS as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, GAIS had 43% of the ball to Hammarby's 57%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 2.01 to 1.61.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for GAIS and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of GAIS vs Hammarby?

GAIS 3-2 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GAIS vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated a GAIS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split GAIS 41%, draw 28%, Hammarby 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GAIS) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GAIS) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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