IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
IFK Varnamo v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals
IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
IFK Varnamo
İSÇ
1-2
HT 1-0
Djurgarden
İSÇ
0-0
HT 0-0
Djurgarden
İSÇ
5-0
HT 2-0
IFK Varnamo
İSÇ
IFK Varnamo 1-0 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics
IFK Varnamo nicked a narrow win over Djurgarden 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, IFK Varnamo had 39% of the ball to Djurgarden's 61%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.75 to 2.07 — the balance of chances actually favoured Djurgarden.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.67 for Djurgarden.
What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden?
IFK Varnamo 1-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden?
Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 32%, draw 26%, Djurgarden 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.