IFK Varnamo 1-1 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Sep 2024

IFK Varnamo
1-1 HT 0-0
Djurgarden
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.85
6+ Goals
10%
17.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 24% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.69
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
11%
13.35
X/1
11%
6.41
X/2
11%
4.84
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.15
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.5pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IFK Varnamo v Djurgarden — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.10/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.18
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +12%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
15.7 Crosses 18.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Varnamo
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.75 xG 1.49
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
401 Passes 426
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.07.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 1-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
16.09.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
08.07.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-2 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
07.08.2022 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
16.07.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 5-0 HT 2-0 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ

IFK Varnamo 1-1 Djurgarden — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Varnamo
1-1
AWAY Djurgarden
1.16 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
353 Passes 362
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo and Djurgarden shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (28% / 32% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, IFK Varnamo had 50% of the ball to Djurgarden's 50%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for IFK Varnamo and 1.80 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden?

IFK Varnamo 1-1 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Varnamo vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IFK Varnamo 28%, draw 32%, Djurgarden 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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