Malmö FF 2-0 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 25% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.99
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
14%
3.87
X/2
8%
10.85
X/X
8%
5.69
2/1
10%
21.85
2/2
10%
8.23
2/X
8%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +13%
1.83/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.36
+9% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
22.4 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malmö FF
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Mjallby
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.64 xG 0.89
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
488 Passes 193
85% Pass Accuracy 68%
40 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.07.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 2-1 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
14.08.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 1-0 HT 1-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
09.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-2 HT 0-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
21.08.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 0-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
07.05.2022 Malmö FF Malmö FF 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
03.10.2021 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-1 HT 0-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malmö FF
2-0
AWAY Mjallby
0.89 xG 1.46
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
423 Passes 340
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Malmö FF vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malmö FF got the better of Mjallby 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Malmö FF as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Malmö FF had 54% of the ball to Mjallby's 46%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.89 to 1.46 — on chances, Mjallby could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Malmö FF and 1.17 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Malmö FF vs Mjallby?

Malmö FF 2-0 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malmö FF vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Malmö FF 54%, draw 23%, Mjallby 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malmö FF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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