Hacken 2-0 IK Sirius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.93
2-3 Goals
35%
2.06
4-5 Goals
27%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.63
X/2
9%
9.0
X/X
10%
6.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
20.0
2/2
11%
5.63
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 15% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.4pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hacken EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.76/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.39
+27% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.2 Crosses 17.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hacken
5W-0D-1L
AWAY IK Sirius
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.67 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 Passes 434
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
39 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-3 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
20.08.2023 Hacken Hacken 3-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
23.04.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-4 HT 0-1 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
22.08.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
28.05.2022 Hacken Hacken 4-3 HT 2-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
29.11.2021 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-0 HT 2-0 Hacken Hacken İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hacken
2-0
AWAY IK Sirius
3.02 xG 1.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
365 Passes 397
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hacken vs IK Sirius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hacken beat IK Sirius 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hacken as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hacken had 48% of the ball to IK Sirius's 52%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 3.02 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hacken had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Hacken and 1.50 for IK Sirius.

What was the final score of Hacken vs IK Sirius?

Hacken 2-0 IK Sirius in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hacken vs IK Sirius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hacken win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hacken 49%, draw 24%, IK Sirius 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hacken) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hacken) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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