Kalmar 1-3 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 29 Sep 2024

Kalmar
1-3 HT 1-2
Elfsborg
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Kalmar vs Elfsborg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.78
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.05
1/2
7%
23.15
1/X
5%
13.9
X/1
13%
8.37
X/2
17%
4.35
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.42
2/X
9%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
25%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kalmar v Elfsborg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalmar EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 55%
-5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
0.94/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/0.88
-32% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 79%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
15.6 Crosses 20.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Kalmar vs Elfsborg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalmar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.90 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
480 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.04.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 1-2 HT 0-1 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
17.09.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-3 HT 0-3 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
09.07.2023 Kalmar Kalmar 0-4 HT 0-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
09.10.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-2 HT 0-2 Kalmar Kalmar İSÇ
24.07.2022 Kalmar Kalmar 1-0 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
29.08.2021 Kalmar Kalmar 0-3 HT 0-2 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ

Kalmar 1-3 Elfsborg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalmar
1-3
AWAY Elfsborg
1.08 xG 2.77
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
511 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Kalmar vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg beat Kalmar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kalmar had 58% of the ball to Elfsborg's 42%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 1.08 to 2.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalmar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kalmar and 1.33 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Kalmar vs Elfsborg?

Kalmar 1-3 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalmar vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kalmar 31%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ BTTS Yes
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