IK Sirius 5-1 Malmö FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
43%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.21
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
29%
3.09
6+ Goals
12%
9.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.77
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
10%
6.08
X/2
14%
5.82
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
22%
3.52
2/X
8%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-5.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
37%
+6.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Malmö FF EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.71/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.34
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
22.2 Crosses 14.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Malmö FF
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 2.28
38% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
260 Passes 476
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 43
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Malmö FF Malmö FF 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
27.07.2024 Malmö FF Malmö FF 0-1 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
19.07.2024 IK Sirius IK Sirius 3-4 HT 2-0 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
28.08.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-3 HT 1-2 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
01.07.2023 Malmö FF Malmö FF 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
07.08.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-1 HT 1-1 Malmö FF Malmö FF İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
5-1
AWAY Malmö FF
2.31 xG 2.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 10
291 Passes 431
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 34
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Malmö FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius ran out comfortable winners over Malmö FF 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Malmö FF at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, IK Sirius had 41% of the ball to Malmö FF's 59%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 2.31 to 2.11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Malmö FF led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for IK Sirius and 2.00 for Malmö FF.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Malmö FF?

IK Sirius 5-1 Malmö FF in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Malmö FF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malmö FF win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 32%, draw 26%, Malmö FF 43%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Malmö FF) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malmö FF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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