Göteborg 1-2 Hammarby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.76
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.87
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
13%
5.91
X/2
17%
5.51
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
18%
3.48
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göteborg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +11%
1.24/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.21
-11% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
22.8 Crosses 17.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göteborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Hammarby
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.17 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
296 Passes 346
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Hammarby Hammarby 4-0 HT 2-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
09.03.2025 Göteborg Göteborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
01.09.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.07.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 0-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göteborg
1-2
AWAY Hammarby
1.28 xG 2.51
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
303 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 30
34 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Göteborg vs Hammarby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby nicked a narrow win over Göteborg 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Göteborg had 51% of the ball to Hammarby's 49%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.28 to 2.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hammarby's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Göteborg and 1.17 for Hammarby.

What was the final score of Göteborg vs Hammarby?

Göteborg 1-2 Hammarby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göteborg vs Hammarby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Göteborg 34%, draw 24%, Hammarby 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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