Hammarby 4-0 Göteborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.62
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
15%
4.79
X/2
10%
8.08
X/X
11%
4.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.2
2/2
8%
5.96
2/X
9%
13.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Göteborg EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.51/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.69
+23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
20.0 Crosses 23.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Göteborg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.45
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
368 Passes 307
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Göteborg Göteborg 4-0 HT 2-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇK
01.09.2024 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.07.2024 Hammarby Hammarby 0-1 HT 0-1 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
01.10.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Göteborg Göteborg İSÇ
21.05.2023 Göteborg Göteborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
15.08.2022 Göteborg Göteborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
4-0
AWAY Göteborg
2.64 xG 0.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
364 Passes 254
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Göteborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby cruised past Göteborg 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammarby had 56% of the ball to Göteborg's 44%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.64 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hammarby and 1.17 for Göteborg.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Göteborg?

Hammarby 4-0 Göteborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Göteborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 49%, draw 28%, Göteborg 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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