Norrköping 4-3 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.81
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
20%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.74
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
13%
4.9
X/2
8%
7.6
X/X
15%
5.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.75
2/2
15%
5.41
2/X
7%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.75 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norrköping EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.12/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.84
-26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.5 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norrköping
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Östers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
19.02.2022 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇK
28.10.2013 Norrköping Norrköping 1-1 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ
24.06.2013 Östers Östers 0-2 HT 0-2 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ
24.07.2010 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-1 Norrköping Norrköping İSÇ2
12.04.2010 Norrköping Norrköping 3-0 HT 1-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
30.08.2007 Norrköping Norrköping 1-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norrköping
4-3
AWAY Östers
2.05 xG 2.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 10
373 Passes 314
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
40 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Norrköping vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norrköping edged past Östers 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Norrköping as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Norrköping had 52% of the ball to Östers's 48%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.05 to 2.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Norrköping had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Norrköping and 0.33 for Östers.

What was the final score of Norrköping vs Östers?

Norrköping 4-3 Östers in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norrköping vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Norrköping win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Norrköping 42%, draw 29%, Östers 29%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Norrköping), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Norrköping) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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