Elfsborg 2-2 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
22.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.21
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
10%
6.57
X/X
10%
4.19
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
12%
5.09
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.63/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.34
+55% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
21.8 Crosses 16.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mjallby
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.26 xG 1.11
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
297 Passes 341
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-1 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
21.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
29.04.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
07.08.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
04.04.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-2
AWAY Mjallby
1.39 xG 0.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
376 Passes 470
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg and Mjallby couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Elfsborg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elfsborg had 46% of the ball to Mjallby's 54%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.39 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elfsborg and 0.83 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Mjallby?

Elfsborg 2-2 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 46%, draw 26%, Mjallby 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSÇ More Sweden - Allsvenskan
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