Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thor Akureyri v Fram Reykjavik — Team-Based Signals
Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Fram Reykjavik
İZL1
4-1
HT 3-0
Thor Akureyri
İZL1
3-2
HT 1-1
Thor Akureyri
İZLK
0-2
HT 0-1
Fram Reykjavik
İZL1
6-1
HT 3-1
Thor Akureyri
İZL1
2-3
HT 0-2
Thor Akureyri
İZL1
Thor Akureyri 1-0 Fram Reykjavik — Actual Match Statistics
Thor Akureyri edged past Fram Reykjavik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Thor Akureyri made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Thor Akureyri had 39% of the ball to Fram Reykjavik's 61%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.20 to 2.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Fram Reykjavik.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fram Reykjavik led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thor Akureyri and 3.17 for Fram Reykjavik.
What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Thor Akureyri 1-0 Fram Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 37%, draw 29%, Fram Reykjavik 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Thor Akureyri) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.