Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vikingur R. v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals
Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Vikingur R. 3-2 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics
Vikingur R. edged past Stjarnan 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Vikingur R. had 51% of the ball to Stjarnan's 49%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.37 to 0.87.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Vikingur R. and 1.83 for Stjarnan.
What was the final score of Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?
Vikingur R. 3-2 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Vikingur R. 59%, draw 19%, Stjarnan 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.