Stjarnan 2-3 Vikingur R. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 29 Sep 2025

📅29/09/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
53%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.63
Over 2.5
65%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.88
2-3 Goals
37%
2.04
4-5 Goals
31%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
5.09
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+4.0pp
35%
Under 2.5
34%
+0.5pp
65%
Over 2.5
66%
-0.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.0pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vikingur R. EU Bookmakers 54%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +4%
1.60/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/1.07
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
15.9 Crosses 21.9
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.01 xG 3.04
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
268 Passes 365
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 38
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2025 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-4 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.05.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-2 HT 0-1 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
06.10.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-2 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
03.07.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 1-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
27.06.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-4 HT 0-2 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. İZL
06.04.2024 Vikingur R. Vikingur R. 2-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
2-3
AWAY Vikingur R.
1.80 xG 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 5
277 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 30
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs Vikingur R.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vikingur R. edged past Stjarnan 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vikingur R. as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Stjarnan had 53% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 47%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.80 to 1.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Stjarnan.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stjarnan and 2.17 for Vikingur R..

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Vikingur R.?

Stjarnan 2-3 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 29/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Vikingur R.?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 24%, draw 23%, Vikingur R. 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vikingur R.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vikingur R.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →