Valur 3-0 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Apr 2026

📅23/04/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.41
No
42%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.8pp
42%
BTTS No
33%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -21%
2.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.47
-9% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
21.1 Crosses 23.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.47 xG 2.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
305 Passes 263
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2025 Valur Valur 4-4 HT 3-2 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
27.07.2025 Valur Valur 3-1 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
04.05.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 HT 2-0 Valur Valur İZL
19.10.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
19.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
25.05.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
3-0
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.28 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 6
327 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur ran out comfortable winners over FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Valur found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Valur had 49% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 51%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.28 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valur and 2.17 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Valur 3-0 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Valur 39%, draw 23%, FH Hafnarfjordur 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
23 Apr 2026
16:00 İB Vestmannaeyjar vs KR Reykjavik Analysis →
20:00 Thor Akureyri vs Fram Reykjavik Analysis →
22:15 Vikingur R. vs Stjarnan Analysis →