FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.47/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/2.00
-4% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
332 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
22.0 Crosses 17.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Valur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.97 xG 2.01
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
242 Passes 375
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 33
22 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
19.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
25.05.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
01.10.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
26.08.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-2 HT 1-2 Valur Valur İZL
02.06.2023 Valur Valur 1-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
3-0
AWAY Valur
1.73 xG 1.56
32% Ball Possession 68%
17 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 10
150 Passes 414
66% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 38
23 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FH Hafnarfjordur ran out comfortable winners over Valur 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; FH Hafnarfjordur found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 32% of the ball to Valur's 68%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.73 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 2.00 for Valur.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur?

FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 36%, draw 25%, Valur 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Valur), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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