İA Akranes 3-0 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +5%
1.83/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.40
+7% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
27.9 Crosses 20.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
2W-0D-4L
AWAY KA Akureyri
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 1.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
228 Passes 372
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 1-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
01.06.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-3 HT 2-3 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
16.02.2024 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
14.08.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 0-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
15.05.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 0-3 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
29.08.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 3-0 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
3-0
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.79 xG 1.33
28% Ball Possession 72%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 12
134 Passes 453
59% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 48
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes cruised past KA Akureyri 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 38% — and on the day İA Akranes made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, İA Akranes had 28% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 72%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 1.79 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for İA Akranes and 2.17 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs KA Akureyri?

İA Akranes 3-0 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a İA Akranes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 39%, draw 23%, KA Akureyri 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İA Akranes), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İA Akranes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
4 May 2025
17:00 İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Vestri Analysis →
22:15 FH Hafnarfjordur vs Valur Analysis →