Valur 4-4 FH Hafnarfjordur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.63
Over 2.5
57%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.83
2-3 Goals
42%
2.04
4-5 Goals
24%
2.45
6+ Goals
14%
5.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
19%
Draw
23%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
34%
+8.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
66%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -23%
1.96/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.78
+31% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
16.8 Crosses 21.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.69 xG 2.26
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
330 Passes 268
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Valur Valur 3-1 HT 1-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
04.05.2025 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 HT 2-0 Valur Valur İZL
19.10.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
19.08.2024 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-2 HT 0-1 Valur Valur İZL
25.05.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
01.10.2023 Valur Valur 4-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
4-4
AWAY FH Hafnarfjordur
1.97 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
345 Passes 229
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur and FH Hafnarfjordur shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valur at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 57% of the ball to FH Hafnarfjordur's 43%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.97 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Valur and 1.67 for FH Hafnarfjordur.

What was the final score of Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Valur 4-4 FH Hafnarfjordur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs FH Hafnarfjordur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Valur 46%, draw 19%, FH Hafnarfjordur 34%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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